January 18, 2019 Storm Palmer Divide Snow Totals

Yesterday’s storm was a surprise for a lot of us along the Palmer Divide. If you lived outside that area you saw little to no snow at all, but we got hammered for lack of a better term.

Here’s a map of what ranges many place in our area received from our latest storm:

Snowfall Reported (through Saturday 5AM)

  • Castle Rock, Parker, Lone Tree areas
    • 5-8 inches
  • Elbert, Elizabeth, Kiowa
    • 8-14 inches
  • Larkspur, Monument
    • 6-12 inches, some areas reporting 10-15 inches Southwest of Larkspur
  • Woodland Park, Palmer Lake, W. Colorado Springs Foothills
    • 4-8 inches with locally higher amounts

I’d like to put a more detailed look up about this storm… while it was a surprise to a lot of us the clues were there before the storm. It looks like even if those were picked up, the probabilities of those things coming together were so low that they were discounted.

If you’ve followed me long enough you know I love to analyze forecasts that I get wrong. Expect that article in the next day or two with more detailed snow amounts as well from NWS and CoCoRahs.

For now, all eyes ahead to our next storm moving in on Monday… details about that one coming soon!

Storm Update: Jan 18-19-2019

We’ve been pretty quiet on the details regarding our next storm system throughout this week… that should probably tell you how excited we are getting about it. The fact is the next storm system has a ton of moisture in it, the mountains are going to see very high amounts of accumulated snowfall the next few days, but sadly the storm track and setup is not conducive to a decent snow event along the front range.

Expected Colorado snow totals for next 48 hours

Looking closer at the Palmer Divide and here is what the WPC is thinking for snowfall through Saturday morning. (Below)

Expected snowfall amounts for next 48 hours along the Palmer Divide Region

As usual, I believe the snowfall amounts predicted above are a bit overdone. The NAM and GFS models are in agreement with pretty much no snow accumulation for nearly the entire front range except for the Palmer Divide. Even there, they only show less than an inch…

The Euro is only slightly more excited about the Palmer Divide, but still holds many places outside of that region (along the front range) at nearly no snow accumulation. For the record, the EURO has been most accurate this year, it’s showing about 1 inch for the Castle Rock area and amounts close to that around the city in areas with higher elevations.

So I’ll wrap up the details pretty quick with this storm because in all honestly, it doesn’t look too exciting and won’t have many impacts on our area…

NWS Weather Alerts

There are no winter weather alerts with this storm for the Palmer Divide region… at this point we don’t expect any to be issued.

Expected Snowfall (through Saturday 5AM)

  • Castle Rock, Parker, Lone Tree areas
    • 0-2 inches
  • Elbert, Elizabeth, Kiowa
    • 0-2 inches
  • Larkspur, Monument
    • 0-3 inches
  • Woodland Park, Palmer Lake, W. Colorado Springs Foothills
    • 0-3 inches

**Emphasis on the lower amounts of these ranges with the data coming in today!

Timing

  • Snowfall looks most likely 12PM Friday through 6PM Friday
  • A quick moving cold front will provide enough lift for snow showers Friday afternoon but it looks very short lived
  • Lingering snow showers are possible into Saturday morning with little to no additional accumulation

2PM Nam3k composite radar forecast for Friday. This is the only burst of snow I see that comes when the cold front moves through. The model has it completely gone by the 5PM snapshot… so a very quick duration event!

Impacts

Expecting little to minor impacts with this storm. Some roads may become a bit slick with the quick burst of snow when the front arrives on Friday afternoon. Given the quickness that the front moves through and exits the area, we don’t expect any widespread issues and the duration of snowfall looks short.

Should this look like it’s changing, we will pass along those details!

AM Storm Update – Here Comes the Snow!

Weather Alerts

NWS Weather Alerts as of this morning

NWS has upgraded the Palmer Divide and foothills to a Winter Storm Warning. This warning has been issued due to the expectation of heavy snow and higher snow accumulations resulting in difficult and hazardous driving conditions. The Warning and Advisory issued runs through 12AM Saturday so expect travel issues to linger into Friday evening.


Updated Expected Snowfall Amounts

As expected, models bumped up snowfall amounts last night but only slightly. Since I was waiting for this signal before I updated my own forecast, I have decided to tweak my snowfall amounts.

Expected snowfall through Saturday AM

The reason I waited a bit to raise our forecast is that I wanted to see more agreement between the models before pulling the trigger on the snow amounts going up. I saw that this morning so here is what we’re looking at:

  • Castle Rock, Parker, Lone Tree areas
    *Lone Tree may be slightly lower depending on melting and temperatures due to elevation*

    • 6-12 inches
  • Elbert, Elizabeth, Kiowa
    • 5-10 inches
  • Larkspur, Monument
    • 6-12 inches
  • Woodland Park, Palmer Lake, W. Colorado Springs Foothills
    • 7-14 inches

 


Summary

Live radar as of 7:50AM

While this storm won’t be the city crippling “blizzard” that a lot are hoping for; the good news is that this storm will provide some extremely beneficial moisture we have been lacking around the region so far. If you’re working today, I’d highly recommend leaving early, the evening commute looks rough and roads will continue to be dicey through the evening and nighttime hours.

The Winter Storm Warning issue by the NWS is notable, they only issue these when they expect road conditions to deteriorate pretty badly.

So if you’re out and about today, take it slow, be safe, stay warm and be careful. The Palmer Divide is in the bulls-eye today so expect roads South of Denver to Colorado Springs to deteriorate throughout the day and be pretty nasty by afternoon and evening hours..

School Delays/Closures

There are some school closures in Elbert County, here’s the latest as of this writing:

Closings Last Updated at 7:52am on 1/11/2019

Clear Creek School District Closed
Elbert School District 200 Closed
Platte Canyon Schools Closed
Regis Jesuit High School Opening 2 hours late

 

Friday Snow Storm – This One’s Looking Interesting!

This storm didn’t exactly come out of nowhere, we’ve been watching it for days but as you can imagine we are hesitant to get too excited about it given what has happened so far this year. Models have continued to keep decent snow accumulation along the front range and targets the Palmer Divide pretty well with a bigger impact. Here’s the latest on everything we are seeing tonight!

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 5AM on January 11 through 12AM January 12

The National Weather Service issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the front range mountains, front range foothills and Palmer Divide for tough travel conditions due to falling snow and icy roads. The advisory goes into effect at 5AM so keep that in mind for the morning commute and the evening commute as well.

We don’t see a lot of evidence for heavy snowfall, but light to moderate snow through the day will add up. The accumulation amounts you will see below are generally through late Friday night into Saturday morning so keep that in mind; snow all day with accumulations listed.


What to Expect

Timing

There is a bit of disagreement on when the snow kicks in exactly, so we’ll go with our best guesses on this one; but just like our past storms if it starts snowing early expect more snow… if it snowing later expect snowfall amounts to be less.

  • Snow is expected to start very early on Friday morning, 3-6AM timeframe looks most likley
  • Snow will ramp up and be at its heaviest between 6AM-11AM with a secondary wave later in the day
  • This will be a long duration event, snow is expected from Friday morning through late Friday night
  • Morning Commute Impact: light to moderate
  • Evening Commute Impact: Moderate

Snowfall

Here’s some of the snow totals we are thinking… I’m still not quite sold on the higher totals for a lot of areas in this storm. I’ve chosen to go with slightly lower totals based on warm temperatures, melting snow and also based on the track record we’ve seen of storms shifting South at the last minute.

Expected snowfall through Saturday morning

If I’m 100% honest, this is probably the storm with the most potential to over perform my snowfall forecast that we’ve seen all year… so keep that in mind. As such, you’ll see my ranges are slightly different from the graphic above but I think based on the modeling and data I’ve seen so far, the ranges are pretty close to valid.

  • Castle Rock, Parker, Lone Tree areas
    • 4-8 inches
  • Elbert, Elizabeth, Kiowa
    • 3-7 inches
  • Larkspur, Monument
    • 4-8 inches
  • Woodland Park, Palmer Lake, W. Colorado Springs Foothills
    • 5-10 inches

Impacts

Main impacts of this storm will have to do with travel on Friday. Roads may be slick in the morning initially but melting later in the day means they will be slushy or wet later in the day.

Models show a secondary burst of snow later in the afternoon and considering that with following temperatures I’d expect travel impacts Friday evening and night as well.


Wrapping It All Up

This is another one of those type storms where people get caught up on “how much snow do we get?” This storm if it performs as expected will cause travel difficulties throughout the day on Friday, especially South of Denver… that’s really what folks should focus on here.

As we get data throughout the night, I’ll post another update early Friday morning if needed. Stay tuned and we’ll be sure to pass along any important updates!

Chance of Snow Friday?

Euro Model: 500mb upper air + vorticity

Our weather pattern will see a bit of a wobble to end the week out… we say wobble because the overall longer term will be warm and dry. However, just because we are stuck in a longer term warm/dry pattern doesn’t mean we won’t see any snow or storm systems at all, it simply means it will be hard to get excited about any of them.

The later part of this week will be no exception; the EURO model above is picking up on a trough developing to our Southwest by Thursday and moving into the region late on Friday. Given the positioning and energy shown with this storm, snowfall is looking more and more likely, but again we can’t get too excited about it with the data we are seeing just yet.

Euro Model: mean level sea pressure and precip type

The EURO MLSP (pressure) and precip outlook shows that storm staying far enough away so that we don’t see a lot of impact from it. Notice on Friday morning how it has a bit of precipitation over the front range and Palmer Divide, but not a whole lot in the way of intensity. This storm falls apart a bit as it moves through Southern Colorado and then reorganizes substantially as it moves East. If this is giving you a sense of deja vu from the last storm, you’d be right.

The other issue with this storm may be the temperatures…

Euro Model: 5AM Friday 1/11/2019 temperatures

This snapshot of the temperatures from 5AM saturday shows air temps along the front range generally in the upper 20’s to low 30’s (obviously there are variations with microclimate and elevation) but temperatures like that are marginal for snow sticking to the ground… especially with how warm we have been for the past week.

What to Plan For

I’m not showing snow totals right now because this far out and with the model disagreement, I don’t think they’re very accurate. Here’s what we are becoming more confident on though;

  • Timing
    • Possible late Thursday into early Friday
    • Maybe some impact through the day Friday
  • Impact
    • Impacts look minor with the data we are seeing right now
    • Colder temperatures look likely
    • Wind may be a factor, we’ll keep an eye on this
    • Snow accumulation looks light at this time, we will keep an eye on this as well.

So nothing to get too excited about yet, just be aware that we are watching some sort of storm coming together around the late Thursday to early Friday timeframe.

We will keep an eye on it and be sure to pass along any updates, stay tuned!

What I Am Thankful For in 2018


John Braddock, owner of Mountain Wave Weather

There’s definitely a lot for me to be thankful this year; great friends, great family and I’m especially thankful that my wife puts up with me looking at, talking about, thinking about weather every waking moment of the day.

I created Mountain Wave Weather mainly as an outlet for this obsession with weather I have. It’s been an absolutely amazing time as I’ve learned to write better, acquired and learned how to use some amazing weather software and been able to attend weather conferences to continue my education in meteorology beyond school.

It astounds me how much Mountain Wave weather has grown, mainly by word of mouth (I don’t advertise) and how awesome people have been! There are a couple of big milestones we hit this year and I want to recognize the people who helped make it happen!

 

Courage Classic/ Fundraising for Children’s Hospital

Many people that know me understand that Children’s Hospital of Colorado is near and dear to my heart. Every year I participate in the Courage Classic Bicycle Tour to help raise money for this excellent cause. I’ve always leaned heavily on social media to promote this but in the past couple of years I’ve used Mountain Wave Weather to help get this message out a bit further.

I was able to raise $700 this year, thanks mainly in large part to a few folks that follow me on Mountain Wave Weather. This was a part of over $100k that was raised in our team that went to the Children’s Hospital Inherited Metabolic Disease team, a group of people I have very close ties with and without whom I don’t know where I’d be today.

I want to specially recognize these people who donated:

  • Gerald Morrison

  • Lee Rottler

  • Courtney Appel-Sadler and Family

Thank you guys so much for helping me with this cause!

To everyone else that follows along, I will be doing this event again next year so stay tuned for details on that!


Business Support

As many of you know, I don’t generally like to use Mountain Wave Weather as a platform to advertise. I’ll make an exception here and there when warranted and I believe this is one of those cases;

Mark and K.C. Neel and their staff at Castle Rock Bike and Ski were amazing this year in keeping my bike running. I put nearly 1,100 miles in and let’s face it… I’m rough on my bike. These guys helped me out a ton this year and I really appreciate everything they do to keep me running!

If you haven’t had a chance to visit their place in downtown Castle Rock, I highly recommend it. Not only are they an awesome, locally owned small business with great people, but they can keep you bike and or skis in great shape all year long!

Shameless plug here for something I started this year. MountainWave Digital Solutions is a small side project I started that turned into a business where I get to help people with another one of my passions. I was able to do countless projects that involved helping people with websites, search engine optimization, business intelligence and application development. The reason I mention it as a word of thanks is that a good chunk of the money I earned on these projects went into my bike races and fundraising, but some of the profits also went into the cool weather tools and analysis you see on this site and my social media pages.

Not really a thank you to myself, but more of a thank you to my clients who took a chance on me when I started out. Thank you all for allowing me to work with you and thank you for being a big part of making this year happen!

Altitude SEO, Sean Hakes, Denver SEO

Finally one more quick shutout to Sean Hakes with Alititude SEO (believe they’re now called Altitude Agency… Sean send me a new logo! :-P) Not only has he been great to talk shop to in Castle Rock, but many folks have found me on one of his Facebook Groups or pages, this includes CRCO Castle Rock. A super special thanks to him for helping me build this little community over the past year!

Sean is one of those guys who selflessly does a lot for the community of Castle Rock… a lot of behind the scenes things that he doesn’t even get credit for. If you see him on social media or about in town, say hi!


Thank You!

It’s been an amazing year and I look forward to what’s coming next! I’m truly very lucky to have the friends and family around me that I do.

To everyone who follows along on Mountain Wave Weather, thank you for sticking with me and putting up with my weather nerd-ery! I have some cool things I’d like to do in 2019 to continue Mountain Wave Weather and will have some updates on that in the very near future!

Have a happy, safe and prosperous 2019!

~John Braddock

 

 

Quick Update: New Year’s Eve Storm

Here’s the latest advisories and warnings for Colorado in regards to this storm. The fact that most of the Palmer Divide and foothills areas are in a Winter Weather Advisory should tell you something. This storm will have some snow with it but still doesn’t look to be a major storm by any means. The Advisory is mainly for travel difficulties for areas under moderate snow and dangerously cold wind chill temperatures.

No surprises with any of this, we have been telling folks to expect snow tomorrow but not a major storm by any means. The lighter blue advisories into Wyoming and Nebraska are wind chill advisories, I wouldn’t be surprised to see some of those issued in Colorado tomorrow and into Tuesday.


The Forecast:  Some Slight Tweaks!

Timing

Models have slowed the storm system down a bit, originally we were expecting snow after midnight into the early morning hours. Here’s the new timing:

  • Snow now expected to begin between 3AM-6AM Monday morning
  • Snow will continue throughout the day Monday
  • Do expect snow during the Monday morning commute, it is possible lingering snow showers could impact the evening commute too (for those working tomorrow…)

Keep in mind, all the ranges we show for snow below are through Tuesday morning… that means you won’t wake up to 3-6 inches of snow in Castle Rock tomorrow, this will accumulate through the day and into late Monday night!

Snowfall

WPC expected snow totals over next 48 hours… still think these are a bit overdone. See our forecast numbers and notes below.

As expected, models are continuously dropping snow totals with each run this evening. This wasn’t totally unexpected though, as it’s been the main theme of our storm systems this year. That being said, we still can’t ignore the strong northerly winds that tend to favor upslope over the Palmer Divide. Models don’t always pick that up very well and given the favored upslope and bitter cold temperatures, we still may be able to eak out some accumulating snow.

With that, we are leaving forecast snow totals as they are, but please understand the lower ends of these totals are looking more likely now than the higher ends.

  • Castle Rock, Parker, Lone Tree areas
    • 3-6 inches
  • Elbert, Elizabeth, Kiowa
    • 2-5 inches
  • Larkspur, Monument
    • 3-7 inches
  • Woodland Park, Palmer Lake, W. Colorado Springs Foothills
    • 4-8 inches

Impacts

No major changes in the impacts, some roads will become slick under heavier bands of snow, but again this will not be a major impacting storm to travel for the Palmer Divide.

The biggest impact of this storm will not be the snow, it will be the bitter cold temperatures.

Nam3K expected temperatures 8AM Tuesday

Those are low temperatures below zero for a number of areas across the Palmer Divide. Given the winds are supposed to breezy out of the North, many areas could see wind chills in the range of -15 to -25 degrees. These are dangerous temperatures so be prepared if you are out Monday night or Tuesday morning. Don’t forget the pets too!

We will have one more quick update in the morning if anything changes in the forecast overnight, if you don’t see an update… expect that there aren’t any changes and things are more or less on track. Stay warm and stay safe!

If you’d like to read today’s earlier look at the models, forecast and synopsis you can see that article by clicking here.

New Year’s Eve Storm: One More Time with Feeling!

Another storm system will begin making its way into Colorado overnight on Sunday and into Monday and with it comes another chance of snow. Will this storm produce more than our last “blizzard” or will we run into another dud?  Let’s go over the need to know stuff first, then we’ll follow on with the models and forecast.


New Year’s Eve Storm

Timing

We don’t see an impact on Sunday night, so the good news is if you are travelling on Sunday during the day, things should be just fine out on the roads for Eastern and Southern Colorado.

Nam3k expected precip 1AM 12-31-2018

By 1am most models begin picking up on precipitation moving into the front range region. Some have it starting as rain but I imagine it will be cold enough that we see this initial round as snow.

Nam3k expected precip 6AM 12-31-2018

By 6am we start to see more energy and upslope across the region.

Nam3k expected precip 9AM 12-31-2018

By 9am, snow is cranking along the front range, Palmer Divide and especially the South Central mountains.

Nam3k expected precip 9PM 12-31-2018

By 9pm we still see light snow showers in the area, but the main energy is moving South out of the area.

So all in all, expect this storm to start after midnight tonight and continue through a good chunk of the day on Monday. Snow could be heavy at times, especially South of Denver and into Southern Colorado.

Expected Snowfall Accumulation – Palmer Divide Region (Our forecast “most-likely” ranges)

  • Castle Rock, Parker, Lone Tree areas
    • 3-6 inches
  • Elbert, Elizabeth, Kiowa
    • 2-5 inches
  • Larkspur, Monument
    • 3-7 inches
  • Woodland Park, Palmer Lake, W. Colorado Springs Foothills
    • 4-8 inches

 

WPC predicted snowfall for the next 48 hours (Palmer Divide Region)

*Keep in mind, our snowfall forecast differs a bit from the WPC as their forecast can be a bit overdone for Colorado and the Palmer Divide area

Model guidance, meteorology and probabilistic forecasting all go into our forecasts at Mountain Wave Weather

Impacts

No winter weather advisories, watches or warnings have been issued as of the time of this post. I suspect if some are issued, they will focus on the Palmer Divide and Foothills regions of the front range.

Roads will become icy and snowpacked under heavier bands of snow. Expect travel conditions to deteriorate early Monday morning with difficult travel conditions possible the first half of Monday.

Extreme Cold!

Nam3k forecast temperatures 6AM Tuesday 1-1-2019

This storm system will bring a healthy dose of arctic air into the region on Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures Tuesday morning are expected to be in the single digits to below zero late Monday and into Tuesday. Make sure your pets have a warm place and keep an eye out for frozen pipes.


Models/Synopsis

Let’s do a quick run through of the models, then we’ll discuss…

GFS is most excited about snow on this storm… but remember it always is!

Nam3k is less excited about snowfall amounts. Nam3k tends to be a bit more reliable than the GFS

Euro (operational) seems relatively in line with the NAM

Euro (ensembles) not as excited about snowfall

As you can see, there is still a bit of discrepancy between the models. This is pretty common, especially because the GFS has been whacky with overdoing snowfall all year. It’s a model that we tend to look at but not take too seriously. The NAM can be accurate to an extent, but the clear winner this year has been the Euro model. The ensembles were especially good at picking up on our last storm and predicting a “no show” event for snow along the front range.

The WPC image we posted above helps with our forecast too, but keep in mind this tends to overdo snow just a bit (not nearly as bad as the GFS though…)

WPC predicted snowfall for the next 48 hours (Palmer Divide Region)

Additionally we can look at the SREF ensembles to get an idea on snowfall, but they too suffer a bit from overdoing snowfall. Still, they are worth looking at as part of the “big picture” that helps with our forecast.

SREF ensembles showing about a 5 inch mean for APA (centennial airport)

Overall, given the data above and the current predicted storm track our confidence is growing that we see accumulating snow out of this event. The probabilities are just much higher than our last storm when you look at data across the board.

Since we still have an entire day of data to come in, expect there to be tweaks and minor changes to the timing, snowfall numbers and impacts based on things we see later today. As with any forecast, things will be fluid but we think we are in the ballpark at least for right now.

Enjoy the warm day Sunday and be ready for the change late Sunday night and into Monday morning!

 

Post Christmas Storm Update – 12-26-2018

As you know if you’ve been following along, we haven’t been getting too excited about this storm… while others have. There’s a good reason why, when we are in a continued dry pattern with the jet stream and storm track being the way they are, it is very difficult to break out of that pattern. This storm looks like it will be just another example of that.

Here’s the latest…

Warnings and Advisories

Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for Eastern Colorado, Western Kansas and up through Nebraska and the Dakotas. Expect strong winds, heavy snow and icing conditions on the road making for treacherous travel. If you are planning on driving through these areas, stay very aware of the weather and road conditions. A lot of roads should be ok earlier in the day today with deteriorating conditions as we move into the afternoon, evening and overnight hours.

Closer to home, Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for the Southwestern Mountains, areas South of Pueblo and the far Eastern sections of the Palmer Divide. Snow totals in these areas is expected to be less, but the combination of wind and falling snow could make travel difficult for a period of time.


Model Updates and Data

No surprises here, models continue to shift the heaviest moisture away from the front range and further out onto the plains. Here’s the models as of this morning…

Euro model expected snowfall through 5PM Thursday

GFS model expected snowfall through 5PM Thursday

Nam3K model expected snowfall through 5PM Thursday

Notice the trend? All 3 models are in agreement with moving the heaviest bands of snow further East and less snow along the front range. Interestingly, all 3 still hold on to a bit of snow mainly over the Palmer Divide so that’s at least something to hold on to!


Latest Snowfall Forecast

WPC snowfall forecast

This snowfall forecast is a bit tricky, because if models continue to move the main energy East… a lot of these ranges will bust short. If the trend continues, I would not be surprised to see many areas along the I-25 corridor see little to no snow accumulation at all. Either way, here’s the ranges we are going with at this time…

Castle Rock: 1-3 inches

Larkspur: 1-3 inches

Monument: 0-2 inches

Littleton: 0-2 inches

Highlands Ranch: 0-2 inches

Parker: 1-3 inches

Elizabeth: 1-4 inches

Franktown: 1-3 inches

Elbert: 1-4 inches

Limon: 2-5 inches


Summary

All in all, we are not expecting a major impact from this storm along the Palmer Divide. Yes we should see at least a bit of snow and yes some roads may get a bit slick under those snow bands, but it doesn’t look like this storm will produce a major problem for most folks.

I’m going to borrow a line from my friends at Weather 5280 that sums up this fall and winter pretty well so far… “Not how many of us hoped this week would pan out… but hey, we’ll keep faithfully writing about blowing dirt until it finally snows again. We’re getting pretty good at it!”

Blowing dirt and tumbleweeds courtesy of Weather5280!

 

Quick AM Storm Update

Updated Warnings, Watches and Advisories for Colorado

The NWS has issued warnings, watches and advisories for winter weather in Colorado due to the storm system moving in. At this time, we see no indication that this storm will have a major impact on the I-25 corridor or the front range foothills. We do expect most areas to see at least some snow though, just not enough for any weather highlights right now.

Again, since we are still getting new data in about the storm track and intensity, this will be subject to change in the next 24 hours.


Travel Impacts for Colorado and Points NE

The heaviest snow looks to fall in Northeastern Colorado, Nebraska and South Dakota. Some of those areas may see up to a foot of snow so expect roads to become icy, snow packed and in some cases impassible due to heavy snow and wind.

The timing looks the worst between Wednesday evening and Thursday evening, so if you have travel planned in these areas please pay close attention to the weather forecasts and road conditions. While it may be tempting to drop South through Kansas due to less snow, we do see a good possibility for freezing rain in those areas.

So keep that in mind, there will be less snow in western Kansas but there will most likely be decent ice accumulation on the roads from freezing rain.

If you have any other travel related questions, feel free to ask on our Facebook Page!


Closer to Home; Snow, Timing and Impacts

Timing

It currently looks like this storm will begin to impact the Palmer Divide and I-25 corridor on Wednesday evening. Again, we don’t expect major issues with this storm for that area, but look at what happens when you head a bit east. I’d expect more of a moderate impact out across Elbert County and a more major impact as you move East and Northeast from there. Notice the heavier snowbands out across the Eastern plains of Colorado. Those areas will see the worst of the storm…

NAM3k model reflectivity 9:30PM 12-26

Be prepared to see snow across the entire area after about 4PM tomorrow.

Snowfall Amounts

Expected total snowfall over the next 72 hours for the Palmer Divide region

Again, no indication that this will be a major storm event unless the track shifts drastically over the next 24 hours. Heaviest snow impacts will be felt across the Eastern plains where they may see 5-10 inches of snow. Along the Palmer Divide, we are generally expecting 3-6 inches and given the current data I’d expect the lower end of that amount for most areas.

Impacts

Travel: Light to moderate impacts. Roads may become slick under areas of heavier snow into Wednesday evening. Travel impacts will become more severe the further East you go.

Strong winds are expected East of town, gusts up to 40mph may create blowing and drifting snow, along with reduced visibility

 


The storm is still evolving but we are getting a better idea about the details. Again, as today is Christmas we probably won’t have another update unless something drastic happens (shift in the track, etc…)

Stay tuned, we will have another update up tomorrow morning. Stay safe, stay warm and Merry Christmas!