Cold Windy Week Ahead for Colorado Front Range

 

Castle Rock Forecast for week of 11/28/2016. Colder and windier conditions expected this week.

5 Day Forecast for Castle Rock Colorado Area

After months of warmer to much warmer than average temperatures in the area over the past several weeks to months, the weather will finally turn more seasonable this week for most of Colorado. The Castle Rock and Palmer Divide area will see high temperatures generally in the upper 30’s and low 40’s with nighttime temperatures turning much colder and reaching the teens most nights.

The caveat here is that while we will see the colder temperatures it will generally be a bit windy on some days and the chances for rain and snow are quite low for most of us East of the divide throughout the week. The moisture is badly needed for us as we still continue with drought conditions for most of the areas in and around Castle Rock. Further windy and dry conditions will keep fire danger relatively high, even in spite of the cooler temperatures.

U.S. Drought Monitor still shows all of Douglas County in a Moderate Drought status.

U.S. Drought Monitor still shows all of Douglas County in a Moderate Drought status.

The good news is that the weather pattern seems to have shifted, at least in the short term and with the colder shots of air, it is sometimes just a matter of time before the more active storm track brings better moisture to us in Eastern Colorado.

Castle Rock's mean temperatures for November so far

Castle Rock’s mean temperatures for November so far

Before we get too carried away with dreams of snow in our future, we must keep in mind that La Nina weather patterns are typically dry and windy for the front range of Colorado. With that said, we will need to keep an eye on the overall storm track, while it looks like the cooler air will be making it into Colorado more often for the foreseeable future; nothing I see right now is pointing us to a wetter storm track for Eastern Colorado. At least not in the next 7-10 days. Sure we may get a quick glancing blow and a bit of snow here and there, but nothing is screaming out “big winter snowstorm” for us anytime soon.


Colorado Mountains? Another Story!

After a very warm and dry start to the ski season in the hills, the weather pattern this week will benefit our ski resorts quite a bit. The storm track is moving storms in from the Northwest, this doesn’t usually bring the Denver area much snow but the mountains benefit quite a bit from this type of storm track. In fact, heavy snow and windy conditions will make travel to the high country tricky this week. So keep that in mind if you are heading up that way!

Colorado Weather Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Colorado Weather Watches/Warnings/Advisories

***WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY***

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CAMERON PASS,
LARAMIE AND MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS, RABBIT EARS RANGE,
ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK, WILLOW CREEK PASS, BERTHOUD PASS,
BRECKENRIDGE, EAST SLOPES MOSQUITO RANGE,
EAST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE, EISENHOWER TUNNEL, INDIAN PEAKS,
KENOSHA MOUNTAINS, MOUNT EVANS, WILLIAMS FORK MOUNTAINS,
AND WINTER PARK
1057 AM MST MON NOV 28 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST
TUESDAY...

* TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6
  INCHES.

* WIND/VISIBILITY...MOUNTAIN PASSES AND HIGH EXPOSED AREAS ARE
  EXPECTED TO SEE WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH ABOVE TIMBERLINE.
  VISIBILITIES WILL FALL TO A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVY
  SNOW AND IN AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOWPACKED AND SLIPPERY. TRAVEL IS
  EXPECTED TO BE SLOW AND HAZARDOUS THROUGH TONIGHT DUE TO
  SNOWPACKED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

 

***WINTER STORM WARNING***

ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
1033 AM MST MON NOV 28 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE THE CITIES OF...COLUMBINE...HAHNS PEAK...
  TOPONAS...ASPEN...VAIL...SNOWMASS...CRESTED BUTTE...TAYLOR
  PARK... MARBLE...BUFORD...TRAPPERS LAKE.

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS
  BEFORE PICKING UP AGAIN IN INTENSITY FROM NOON THROUGH ABOUT
  NOON TUESDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES RESULTING IN A
  STORM TOTAL OF 10 TO 16 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...LOW VISIBILITY IN PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE
  TRAVEL DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAIN PASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

As always I’ll be keeping an eye on the weather throughout the week and will have updates if there are any changes to the forecast or we see anything interesting coming our way. Hope everyone had a great Holiday!

 

John R. Braddock
Storm Chaser/ Amateur Meteorologist at Mountain Wave Weather
John R. Braddock is a NOAA/NWS Certified Storm Chaser and Amateur Meteorologist living in Castle Rock, Colorado. A graduate of Colorado State University with a Bachelor's in Computer Science and a Colorado native, he specializes in short range forecasting, severe weather and mountain weather dynamics.

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